v3 cap-continuation 600k-1M ultrawide stop .4 trail 60%

Testmgr3 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 21 Oct · idea #738 · updated 24 Oct 23:13 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: fwd n>=20; replay honest; decide by 25 Oct

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 25 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
-$21.30
Trades done
7
1 up, 6 down
Best trade
1.1x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 600k-1M, +15s entry, stop .4, trail 60% of peak, hunt 3M+

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 191 trades, mean 0.93x, -$141.23 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.

-$20-$10$0trade 1 at 21 Oct 20:05 0.56x -$4.37#1trade 2 at 22 Oct 04:59 1.07x +$0.70#2trade 3 at 22 Oct 14:49 0.71x -$2.93#3trade 4 at 22 Oct 22:38 0.93x -$0.71#4trade 5 at 23 Oct 01:20 0.69x -$3.13#5trade 6 at 23 Oct 19:24 0.56x -$4.39#6trade 7 at 24 Oct 12:03 0.35x -$6.47#721 Oct22 Oct23 Oct24 Oct24 Oct
Every trade (exit rule H)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
70x1ea8857ff869493abd236a49c83cf150fecf2ecf24 Oct 12:03$10trail0.35x (-64.7%)
-$6.47
60x053e1969b9adb6a4c0932c43396e939fb4bae9f223 Oct 19:24$10trail0.56x (-43.9%)
-$4.39
50x8dbebbf1e65d9d185d9fdfac59c155b5c6d8496423 Oct 01:20$10trail0.69x (-31.3%)
-$3.13
40xaa9844f592dfab4cdc8ad96c0fbfd0137fae00b822 Oct 22:38$10time0.93x (-7.1%)
-$0.71
30x775b9201eae9512a7626818e5b8775d072b9832f22 Oct 14:49$10trail0.71x (-29.3%)
-$2.93
20xad7ff23810f149d0900987f2b74790ee6723cda622 Oct 04:59$10trail1.07x (+7.0%)
+$0.70
10x82fc11f076817e52438d8e41da54edf086d829aa21 Oct 20:05$10trail0.56x (-43.7%)
-$4.37
Full Test Manager report
# v3capd1 paper (testmgr) 24 Oct 16:13 UTC
H 600k-1M stop .4 trail 60% of peak hunt 3M+. Open legs 0.
- H: n 198, mean 0.92x, median 0.50x, win 22, pull 2, time 10