v3 cap-continuation 150-300k ultrawide stop .4 trail 60%

Testmgr3 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 22 Oct · idea #755 · updated 24 Oct 08:52 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: fwd n>=20; replay e1 0.92x n303, f1 1.59x n30; decide by 26 Oct; cron line needs ops

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 26 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
-$47.01
Trades done
20
3 up, 17 down
Best trade
3.3x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 150-300k, +15s entry, stop .4, trail 60% of peak, hunt 3M+

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 303 trades, mean 0.92x, -$246.40 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.

-$40-$20$0trade 1 at 22 Oct 08:59 0.00x -$10.00#1trade 2 at 22 Oct 10:40 0.67x -$3.31#2trade 3 at 22 Oct 11:05 1.26x +$2.65#3trade 4 at 22 Oct 15:45 0.83x -$1.73#4trade 5 at 22 Oct 18:34 0.46x -$5.37#5trade 6 at 22 Oct 19:52 0.35x -$6.49#6trade 7 at 22 Oct 20:11 3.33x +$23.30#7trade 8 at 22 Oct 20:54 0.64x -$3.62#8trade 9 at 22 Oct 21:56 0.47x -$5.29#9trade 10 at 22 Oct 23:47 2.78x +$17.77#10trade 11 at 23 Oct 00:48 0.00x -$10.00#11trade 12 at 23 Oct 06:49 0.41x -$5.92#12trade 13 at 23 Oct 07:42 0.91x -$0.92#13trade 14 at 23 Oct 10:22 0.55x -$4.49#14trade 15 at 23 Oct 15:13 0.00x -$10.00#15trade 16 at 23 Oct 15:29 0.63x -$3.72#16trade 17 at 23 Oct 19:49 0.41x -$5.87#17trade 18 at 24 Oct 02:54 0.66x -$3.42#18trade 19 at 24 Oct 05:45 0.48x -$5.24#19trade 20 at 24 Oct 06:51 0.47x -$5.34#2022 Oct22 Oct23 Oct23 Oct24 Oct
Every trade (exit rule H)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
200xb0bf51155886e3c27f9d286585175ffe25c71b7b24 Oct 06:51$10trail0.47x (-53.4%)
-$5.34
190x58248fa41857ebe73f06f16200ed6aae5c7cf5e024 Oct 05:45$10trail0.48x (-52.4%)
-$5.24
180xc0b855d2dba6496fceed1dad6b865ab442e01f8124 Oct 02:54$10trail0.66x (-34.2%)
-$3.42
170xc05852b69850f9011ce4d35f6897fdfe21179eba23 Oct 19:49$10trail0.41x (-58.7%)
-$5.87
160x053e1969b9adb6a4c0932c43396e939fb4bae9f223 Oct 15:29$10trail0.63x (-37.2%)
-$3.72
150xa6c49be63b94035db477070a74a83e33aad1a4cd23 Oct 15:13$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
140x76b69d49796d31f5d4f73a92495710700b02f34123 Oct 10:22$10trail0.55x (-44.9%)
-$4.49
130x827e8814a273cb4b30c19025f85337dfe6966a6423 Oct 07:42$10trail0.91x (-9.2%)
-$0.92
120x09b3d1142d71faee4baf8b4057b724dd225ba31423 Oct 06:49$10trail0.41x (-59.2%)
-$5.92
110x86cd81fb640929036210f002eab9e35ac9b4be0723 Oct 00:48$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
100x8dbebbf1e65d9d185d9fdfac59c155b5c6d8496422 Oct 23:47$10trail2.78x (+177.7%)
+$17.77
90x056ed3cccadfb0d00c771d6924aafd743fab571022 Oct 21:56$10trail0.47x (-52.9%)
-$5.29
80xfdfab49212efbb0701b8c2ef5d2b8e1e70b8fed622 Oct 20:54$10trail0.64x (-36.2%)
-$3.62
70xaa9844f592dfab4cdc8ad96c0fbfd0137fae00b822 Oct 20:11$10time3.33x (+233.0%)
+$23.30
60x162d63543b01ae0032034d870de4b8d43dbed90322 Oct 19:52$10trail0.35x (-64.9%)
-$6.49
50xce6bd090ea32a438da0f9d2bfa2a814ff41169f222 Oct 18:34$10trail0.46x (-53.7%)
-$5.37
40x241919430981ae65d036a3fad4d207ba9c192ccc22 Oct 15:45$10trail0.83x (-17.3%)
-$1.73
30x775b9201eae9512a7626818e5b8775d072b9832f22 Oct 11:05$10trail1.26x (+26.5%)
+$2.65
20xe3a073a531d822fb2f8056dd1fea6e876519909b22 Oct 10:40$10trail0.67x (-33.1%)
-$3.31
10x9e06e292ed5334114a01bc1aff87537f2694762022 Oct 08:59$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
Full Test Manager report
# v3cape1 paper (testmgr) 24 Oct 01:52 UTC
H 150-300k stop .4 trail 60% of peak hunt 3M+. Open legs 0.
- H: n 323, mean 0.91x, median 0.65x, win 80, pull 65, time 8