v3 cap-continuation 300-600k VERY FRESH

Testmgr · miss family (cf variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 24 Oct · idea #772 · updated 26 Oct 07:22 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: fwd n>=15

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 28 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
+$59.89
Trades done
21
3 up, 18 down
Best trade
12.4x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 300-600k, pool age<=60m, stop .7 trail 50%

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 177 trades, mean 0.86x, -$245.28 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.

$0$50$100trade 1 at 20 Oct 16:52 0.61x -$3.85#1trade 2 at 20 Oct 19:18 0.99x -$0.08#2trade 3 at 21 Oct 01:37 12.36x +$113.59#3trade 4 at 21 Oct 08:18 0.72x -$2.76#4trade 5 at 21 Oct 18:09 0.65x -$3.48#5trade 6 at 21 Oct 19:17 1.27x +$2.72#6trade 7 at 22 Oct 04:49 1.95x +$9.52#7trade 8 at 22 Oct 05:13 0.34x -$6.65#8trade 9 at 22 Oct 11:28 0.76x -$2.37#9trade 10 at 22 Oct 16:02 0.61x -$3.85#10trade 11 at 22 Oct 20:17 0.71x -$2.92#11trade 12 at 22 Oct 23:59 0.66x -$3.45#12trade 13 at 23 Oct 07:00 0.62x -$3.83#13trade 14 at 23 Oct 08:03 0.63x -$3.72#14trade 15 at 24 Oct 09:24 0.68x -$3.21#15trade 16 at 24 Oct 09:27 0.65x -$3.53#16trade 17 at 25 Oct 16:54 0.63x -$3.69#17trade 18 at 25 Oct 20:59 0.00x -$10.00#18trade 19 at 26 Oct 01:31 0.65x -$3.51#19trade 20 at 26 Oct 06:22 0.87x -$1.31#20trade 21 at 26 Oct 06:48 0.63x -$3.73#2120 Oct22 Oct23 Oct24 Oct26 Oct
Every trade (exit rule H)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
210xc446e071df9c73fdd63cc4bbf94719452ecd136d26 Oct 06:48$10trail0.63x (-37.3%)
-$3.73
200x672687ca46d3719c7d542ea4a795fd3e4c65205c26 Oct 06:22$10trail0.87x (-13.1%)
-$1.31
190xc5d177b9751875046c22d6361a5a4b143a52d42d26 Oct 01:31$10trail0.65x (-35.1%)
-$3.51
180x11614f87bc52cc6f7073f517e61ce55cb2ba376025 Oct 20:59$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
170x1a1d11fee49618369a76e8d7679aadea96ba6b3125 Oct 16:54$10trail0.63x (-36.9%)
-$3.69
160x525f2b46bb98192f9fb9d0a3ce7e7c1b8895cf3e24 Oct 09:27$10trail0.65x (-35.3%)
-$3.53
150x1ea8857ff869493abd236a49c83cf150fecf2ecf24 Oct 09:24$10trail0.68x (-32.1%)
-$3.21
140x827e8814a273cb4b30c19025f85337dfe6966a6423 Oct 08:03$10trail0.63x (-37.2%)
-$3.72
130x09b3d1142d71faee4baf8b4057b724dd225ba31423 Oct 07:00$10trail0.62x (-38.3%)
-$3.83
120x8dbebbf1e65d9d185d9fdfac59c155b5c6d8496422 Oct 23:59$10trail0.66x (-34.5%)
-$3.45
110xaa9844f592dfab4cdc8ad96c0fbfd0137fae00b822 Oct 20:17$10trail0.71x (-29.2%)
-$2.92
100x241919430981ae65d036a3fad4d207ba9c192ccc22 Oct 16:02$10trail0.61x (-38.5%)
-$3.85
90x775b9201eae9512a7626818e5b8775d072b9832f22 Oct 11:28$10trail0.76x (-23.7%)
-$2.37
80x815d01214fb1aebcf58254d47ddb8d6cfa201a1b22 Oct 05:13$10trail0.34x (-66.5%)
-$6.65
70xad7ff23810f149d0900987f2b74790ee6723cda622 Oct 04:49$10trail1.95x (+95.2%)
+$9.52
60x82fc11f076817e52438d8e41da54edf086d829aa21 Oct 19:17$10trail1.27x (+27.2%)
+$2.72
50x9cf6cdfd1c414bdc14594a67c7ca3eda8b1ea56821 Oct 18:09$10trail0.65x (-34.8%)
-$3.48
40xe9d0f67a79a952ff7928c3940a88b5289101dafe21 Oct 08:18$10trail0.72x (-27.6%)
-$2.76
30x55e0a094ca5d911bcddaea0d4d2751aca668cb8321 Oct 01:37$10time12.36x (+1135.9%)
+$113.59
20x7c06e52a1c1f5713c1c39a30530536c591174fff20 Oct 19:18$10trail0.99x (-0.8%)
-$0.08
10x6a723aa4637eb685fd5759a7b5eb3e296f30e75520 Oct 16:52$10trail0.61x (-38.5%)
-$3.85
Full Test Manager report
# v3cf10 paper (testmgr4) 26 Oct 00:22 UTC
300-600k VERY FRESH stop .7 trail 50% (age<=60m) hunt 3M+. Open legs 0.
- H: n 198, mean 0.91x, median 0.66x, win 38, pull 5, time 3