v3 cap-continuation 150-300k VERY FRESH ULTRAWIDE

Testmgr · miss family (cf variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 23 Oct · idea #763 · updated 26 Oct 08:02 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: fwd n>=15

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 27 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
+$134.88
Trades done
51
12 up, 39 down
Best trade
23.0x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 150-300k, pool age<=60m, stop .4 trail 60%

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 254 trades, mean 0.86x, -$361.00 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.

$0$100$200trade 1 at 20 Oct 16:38 0.80x -$2.01trade 2 at 20 Oct 18:49 2.44x +$14.36trade 3 at 20 Oct 20:42 0.38x -$6.22trade 4 at 20 Oct 21:52 0.15x -$8.54trade 5 at 20 Oct 22:45 0.59x -$4.11trade 6 at 21 Oct 01:03 0.54x -$4.59trade 7 at 21 Oct 01:36 23.05x +$220.45trade 8 at 21 Oct 06:54 0.72x -$2.77trade 9 at 21 Oct 08:02 1.01x +$0.14trade 10 at 21 Oct 17:23 0.36x -$6.35trade 11 at 21 Oct 19:03 2.31x +$13.08trade 12 at 21 Oct 23:45 0.38x -$6.25trade 13 at 22 Oct 02:08 0.54x -$4.63trade 14 at 22 Oct 04:26 4.29x +$32.92trade 15 at 22 Oct 06:43 0.60x -$4.01trade 16 at 22 Oct 08:59 0.00x -$10.00trade 17 at 22 Oct 10:40 0.67x -$3.31trade 18 at 22 Oct 11:05 1.26x +$2.65trade 19 at 22 Oct 15:45 0.83x -$1.73trade 20 at 22 Oct 18:34 0.46x -$5.37trade 21 at 22 Oct 19:52 0.35x -$6.49trade 22 at 22 Oct 20:11 3.33x +$23.30trade 23 at 22 Oct 20:54 0.64x -$3.62trade 24 at 22 Oct 21:56 0.47x -$5.29trade 25 at 22 Oct 23:47 2.78x +$17.77trade 26 at 23 Oct 00:48 0.00x -$10.00trade 27 at 23 Oct 06:49 0.41x -$5.92trade 28 at 23 Oct 07:42 0.91x -$0.92trade 29 at 23 Oct 10:22 0.55x -$4.49trade 30 at 23 Oct 15:13 0.00x -$10.00trade 31 at 23 Oct 15:29 0.63x -$3.72trade 32 at 23 Oct 19:49 0.41x -$5.87trade 33 at 24 Oct 02:54 0.66x -$3.42trade 34 at 24 Oct 05:45 0.48x -$5.24trade 35 at 24 Oct 06:51 0.47x -$5.34trade 36 at 24 Oct 09:04 1.12x +$1.22trade 37 at 24 Oct 09:26 0.68x -$3.24trade 38 at 24 Oct 11:20 1.17x +$1.67trade 39 at 24 Oct 16:35 0.54x -$4.65trade 40 at 24 Oct 18:04 0.00x -$10.00trade 41 at 24 Oct 22:32 0.88x -$1.16trade 42 at 25 Oct 05:14 0.48x -$5.15trade 43 at 25 Oct 11:00 0.86x -$1.40trade 44 at 25 Oct 15:20 0.39x -$6.13trade 45 at 25 Oct 16:19 0.80x -$2.01trade 46 at 25 Oct 19:00 0.46x -$5.38trade 47 at 25 Oct 20:48 0.00x -$10.00trade 48 at 25 Oct 22:36 0.51x -$4.86trade 49 at 26 Oct 01:20 1.34x +$3.37trade 50 at 26 Oct 05:42 0.59x -$4.09trade 51 at 26 Oct 05:53 1.22x +$2.2320 Oct22 Oct23 Oct24 Oct26 Oct
Every trade (exit rule H)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
510x672687ca46d3719c7d542ea4a795fd3e4c65205c26 Oct 05:53$10trail1.22x (+22.3%)
+$2.23
500x0239c82977d7350e936b6da9f35c816470399e0c26 Oct 05:42$10trail0.59x (-40.9%)
-$4.09
490xc5d177b9751875046c22d6361a5a4b143a52d42d26 Oct 01:20$10trail1.34x (+33.7%)
+$3.37
480x3a7414ccd3ded39cdb08ce78ea5afb66b25da4c625 Oct 22:36$10trail0.51x (-48.6%)
-$4.86
470x11614f87bc52cc6f7073f517e61ce55cb2ba376025 Oct 20:48$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
460xe721ba9642525bfa5dbaa1c261b1e98df71af50625 Oct 19:00$10trail0.46x (-53.8%)
-$5.38
450x1a1d11fee49618369a76e8d7679aadea96ba6b3125 Oct 16:19$10trail0.80x (-20.1%)
-$2.01
440x2439dbd5a02431f1e50fb38c80d0d4710229696225 Oct 15:20$10trail0.39x (-61.3%)
-$6.13
430x879eb5cc102efcc03544a4ff3c3d4dbd3aa9a18625 Oct 11:00$10trail0.86x (-14.0%)
-$1.40
420x575fdfef4b11525a760bbf09a97acc429a89c31b25 Oct 05:14$10trail0.48x (-51.5%)
-$5.15
410xedbfa9051997aff1ca0038ec42a3a566aa52b06724 Oct 22:32$10trail0.88x (-11.6%)
-$1.16
400xe8218d4a368ebb3763cf55745c4fa54c4986c3f424 Oct 18:04$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
390x3631f20f7e5347bca650fb646afa0f55e520d95524 Oct 16:35$10trail0.54x (-46.5%)
-$4.65
380x73f1ede59ba61c23bb39c2a1ba6770baf31fdf7124 Oct 11:20$10trail1.17x (+16.7%)
+$1.67
370x525f2b46bb98192f9fb9d0a3ce7e7c1b8895cf3e24 Oct 09:26$10trail0.68x (-32.4%)
-$3.24
360x1ea8857ff869493abd236a49c83cf150fecf2ecf24 Oct 09:04$10trail1.12x (+12.2%)
+$1.22
350xb0bf51155886e3c27f9d286585175ffe25c71b7b24 Oct 06:51$10trail0.47x (-53.4%)
-$5.34
340x58248fa41857ebe73f06f16200ed6aae5c7cf5e024 Oct 05:45$10trail0.48x (-52.4%)
-$5.24
330xc0b855d2dba6496fceed1dad6b865ab442e01f8124 Oct 02:54$10trail0.66x (-34.2%)
-$3.42
320xc05852b69850f9011ce4d35f6897fdfe21179eba23 Oct 19:49$10trail0.41x (-58.7%)
-$5.87
310x053e1969b9adb6a4c0932c43396e939fb4bae9f223 Oct 15:29$10trail0.63x (-37.2%)
-$3.72
300xa6c49be63b94035db477070a74a83e33aad1a4cd23 Oct 15:13$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
290x76b69d49796d31f5d4f73a92495710700b02f34123 Oct 10:22$10trail0.55x (-44.9%)
-$4.49
280x827e8814a273cb4b30c19025f85337dfe6966a6423 Oct 07:42$10trail0.91x (-9.2%)
-$0.92
270x09b3d1142d71faee4baf8b4057b724dd225ba31423 Oct 06:49$10trail0.41x (-59.2%)
-$5.92
260x86cd81fb640929036210f002eab9e35ac9b4be0723 Oct 00:48$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
250x8dbebbf1e65d9d185d9fdfac59c155b5c6d8496422 Oct 23:47$10trail2.78x (+177.7%)
+$17.77
240x056ed3cccadfb0d00c771d6924aafd743fab571022 Oct 21:56$10trail0.47x (-52.9%)
-$5.29
230xfdfab49212efbb0701b8c2ef5d2b8e1e70b8fed622 Oct 20:54$10trail0.64x (-36.2%)
-$3.62
220xaa9844f592dfab4cdc8ad96c0fbfd0137fae00b822 Oct 20:11$10time3.33x (+233.0%)
+$23.30
210x162d63543b01ae0032034d870de4b8d43dbed90322 Oct 19:52$10trail0.35x (-64.9%)
-$6.49
200xce6bd090ea32a438da0f9d2bfa2a814ff41169f222 Oct 18:34$10trail0.46x (-53.7%)
-$5.37
190x241919430981ae65d036a3fad4d207ba9c192ccc22 Oct 15:45$10trail0.83x (-17.3%)
-$1.73
180x775b9201eae9512a7626818e5b8775d072b9832f22 Oct 11:05$10trail1.26x (+26.5%)
+$2.65
170xe3a073a531d822fb2f8056dd1fea6e876519909b22 Oct 10:40$10trail0.67x (-33.1%)
-$3.31
160x9e06e292ed5334114a01bc1aff87537f2694762022 Oct 08:59$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
150x1e2b4bbabf505375f45f0a0b39f4187a93b6c02622 Oct 06:43$10trail0.60x (-40.1%)
-$4.01
140xad7ff23810f149d0900987f2b74790ee6723cda622 Oct 04:26$10trail4.29x (+329.2%)
+$32.92
130x9871a6173bbb4c2852ca249a83428849618d09d522 Oct 02:08$10trail0.54x (-46.3%)
-$4.63
120x8b9dfc554e7fbbfb3100529d8b90f123e7cc11da21 Oct 23:45$10trail0.38x (-62.5%)
-$6.25
110x82fc11f076817e52438d8e41da54edf086d829aa21 Oct 19:03$10trail2.31x (+130.8%)
+$13.08
100x9cf6cdfd1c414bdc14594a67c7ca3eda8b1ea56821 Oct 17:23$10trail0.36x (-63.5%)
-$6.35
90xe9d0f67a79a952ff7928c3940a88b5289101dafe21 Oct 08:02$10trail1.01x (+1.4%)
+$0.14
80x0d6d75169f96142a32a5abe54f1f6b13355a240221 Oct 06:54$10trail0.72x (-27.7%)
-$2.77
70x55e0a094ca5d911bcddaea0d4d2751aca668cb8321 Oct 01:36$10time23.05x (+2204.5%)
+$220.45
60x756860e1abab7cd15847c9c643354b9322389cdd21 Oct 01:03$10trail0.54x (-45.9%)
-$4.59
50x230934a337e8c27220ad094963590b807712701a20 Oct 22:45$10trail0.59x (-41.1%)
-$4.11
40x323c591c3b9faa00d58d4568d0b9334e2b22175f20 Oct 21:52$10trail0.15x (-85.4%)
-$8.54
30x0e2521121dede0064f9439ccb026175c62d814a720 Oct 20:42$10trail0.38x (-62.2%)
-$6.22
20x7c06e52a1c1f5713c1c39a30530536c591174fff20 Oct 18:49$10trail2.44x (+143.6%)
+$14.36
10x6a723aa4637eb685fd5759a7b5eb3e296f30e75520 Oct 16:38$10trail0.80x (-20.1%)
-$2.01
Full Test Manager report
# v3cf5 paper (testmgr4) 26 Oct 01:02 UTC
150-300k VERY FRESH ULTRAWIDE stop .4 trail 60% (age<=60m) hunt 5M+. Open legs 2.
- H: n 305, mean 0.93x, median 0.64x, win 78, pull 59, time 2